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Apple is reportedly weighing price increases for its upcoming iPhone lineup this fall, a move closely watched by investors and analysts alike. The Wall Street Journal, citing sources familiar with the matter, disclosed that the company is exploring the hikes without publicly attributing them to ongoing U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports.
The backdrop of this strategic decision lies in complex geopolitical currents. Although Washington and Beijing agreed to pause many reciprocal tariffs, a 30% levy remains on select Chinese imports, including smartphones. This is part of a broader U.S. trade crackdown led by President Trump, which now includes a separate 20% tariff aimed at Chinese electronics, tied to fentanyl-related allegations.
Apple, long dependent on Chinese manufacturing hubs, has found itself navigating rising costs and political pressure. In its latest financial briefing, the company acknowledged that tariffs are expected to increase operational expenses by approximately $900 million for the April-to-June quarter. CEO Tim Cook confirmed that "a majority of iPhones sold in the U.S. this quarter will be sourced from India."
Yet, shifting production hasn't been seamless. While India is ramping up output, Apple's high-end Pro and Pro Max models still rely heavily on Chinese plants due to their specialized assembly lines and infrastructure. Analysts caution that even with diversification efforts, China remains essential for premium iPhone models. Rosenblatt Securities estimated that tariffs could drive the base model iPhone 16's price from $799 to as high as $1,142 — a staggering 43% jump. However, insiders suggest Apple may seek to cushion the impact by introducing design overhauls and new features. A sleeker, ultrathin iPhone is reportedly in development, possibly to help justify the increased costs to consumers.
Market reactions have been swift. Apple's shares climbed nearly 7% in early trading following news of the company's pricing deliberations, buoyed by optimism over a temporary easing of trade tensions. Still, concerns linger over potential market share erosion as competitors like Samsung leverage AI innovations and competitive pricing to lure buyers."If Apple miscalculates consumer tolerance for price hikes, especially in a saturated market, it risks pushing users toward rivals," said Dan Ives, a tech analyst at Wedbush Securities.